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Daniël de Leeuw's tumblelog danieldl.

Jan 31, 2008

The Earnings/S&P 500 Connection

What is the relationship between corporate earnings and stock market performance? The naive view says that higher earnings — or at least the anticipation thereof — leads to a higher market. But is it so?

Well, let’s just that it’s complicated. I’ll post some more slices of the data later, having spent some Excel airplane time today looking at S&P 500 earnings and market performance data back to 1960. Here, just to get you started, is binned annual earnings data for S&P 500 companies…

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